Ree research by the part, the region showcases an incredibly similar development: This is certainly exceptional just like the, to the December 19, the limitations have been applied to London area and you will components of the new East and you can South-east that in a number of means prefigured brand new lockdown, therefore if stringent restrictions got a large impression you expect to see significantly more noticable differences between nations. It can lookup as if attacks arrive at slip a tiny part sooner or later following decrease somewhat shorter regarding places in which significantly more strict limitations have been set up, although impact try scarcely impressive and you will, once i will show you later on, the outcomes doesn’t mean that it was causal there was reasons to help you question that it was.
There are many you’ll explanations for this visible inconsistency
In reality, while it appears like occurrence come to slide up until the lockdown came into impression inside research with the times, brand new Operate-1 investigation , other frequent cross-sectional questionnaire off SARS-CoV-2 swab-positivity into the haphazard types of the population regarding The united kingdomt whoever eighth bullet is actually presented from the 2 weeks pursuing the beginning of new lockdown, didn’t find any fall in the new positivity rate shortly after the brand new lockdown already been: As you can plainly see, the brand new positivity speed failed to start losing up until age with the perception.